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Supplementary information

We detail the past 4 World Cups, starting with Brazil 2014 and ending up with Korea-Japan 2002.

  • In the first table we show the FIFA ranking in October (8 months before the World Cup). We separated the 32 teams into 4 pots according to their position in the ranking. The order number represents the position they had in the global FIFA ranking. Highlighted in yellow are the teams that qualified for the Round of 16. In red, the percentage of teams qualified for the Round of 16 from each pot. In blue, the percentage of teams qualified for the Round of 16 from each group of pots (pot 1 + 2 and pot 3 + 4).
  • In the second table we show the FIFA ranking of May (1 month before the World Cup). The colors have the same meaning as before. Teams presenting the symbols ↑ or ↓ means that they moved from pot 3 to pot 2 (or vice versa) compared to the FIFA ranking in October (8 months before the World Cup).
  • In the third Table we show the results given in the Group stage. In yellow we highlight the teams that qualified being best in the FIFA ranking of May. In light-blue are highlighted the teams that were meant to qualify according to the FIFA ranking but they had a bad campaign and were eliminated.

BRAZIL 2014

FIFA RANKING OCTOBER 2013
POT 1 POT 2 POT 3 POT 4
1. Spain 8. Italy 17. Ivory Coast 32 Algeria
2. Germany 10. England 18. Croatia 33. Nigeria
3. Argentina 11. Brazil 19. Russia 34. Honduras
4. Colombia 12. Chile 21. France 44. Japan
5. Belgium 13. USA 22. Ecuador 49. Iran
6. Uruguay 14. Portugal 23. Ghana 56 South Korea
7. Switzerland 15. Greece 24. Mexico 57. Australia
8. Netherlands 16. Bosnia & Herzegovina 31. Costa Rica 59. Cameroon
87.5% 50% 37.5% 25%
11/16 = 68.75% 5/16 = 31.25%

FIFA RANKING MAY 2014
POT 1 POT 2 BOMBO 3 POT 4
1. Spain 9. Italy 18. Croatia 33. Honduras
2. Germany 10. England 19. Russia 37. Ghana
3. Brazil 11. Belgium 20. Mexico 43. Nigeria
4. Portugal 12. Greece 21. Bosnia & Herzegovina ↓ 43. Iran
5. Argentina 13. USA 22. Algeria 46. Japan
6. Switzerland 14. Chile 23. Ivory Coast 56. Cameroon
7. Uruguay 15. Netherlands 26. Ecuador 57. South Korea
8. Colombia 17. France ↑ 28. Costa Rica 62. Australia
75% 75% 37.5% 12.5%
12/16 = 75% 4/16 = 25%
GROUP STAGE
(Position in the FIFA ranking. October 2013 → Position in the FIFA ranking. May 2014) = Points accumulated in the Group stage
GROUP A GROUP B
  1. Brazil (11→3) = 7
  2. Mexico (24→20) = 7
  3. Croatia (18→18) = 3
  4. Cameroon (59→56) = 0
  1. Netherlands (8→15) = 9
  2. Chile (12→14) = 6
  3. Spain (1→1) = 3
  4. Australia (57→62) = 0
GROUP C GROUP D
  1. Colombia (4→8) = 9
  2. Greece (15→12) = 4
  3. Ivory Coast (17→23) = 3
  4. Japan (44→46) = 1
  1. Costa Rica (31→28) = 7
  2. Uruguay (6→7) = 6
  3. Italy (8→9) = 3
  4. England (10→10) = 1
GROUP E GROUP F
  1. France (21→17) = 7
  2. Switzerland (7→6) = 6
  3. Ecuador (22→26) = 4
  4. Honduras (34→33) = 0
  1. Argentina (3→5) = 9
  2. Nigeria (33→43) = 4
  3. Bosnia & Herzegovina (16→21) = 3
  4. Iran (49→43) = 1
GROUP G GROUP H
  1. Germany (2→2) = 7
  2. USA (13→13) = 4
  3. Portugal (14→4) = 4
  4. Ghana (23→37) = 1
  1. Belgium (5→11) = 9
  2. Algeria (32→22) = 4
  3. Russia (19→19) = 2
  4. South Korea (56→57) = 1
Qualified teams being best in their groups according to the FIFA ranking: 10/16 = 62.5%

SOUTH AFRICA 2010

FIFA RANKING OCTOBER 2009
POT 1 POT 2 POT 3 POT 4
1. Brazil 10. Portugal 20. Serbia 35. Honduras
2. Spain 11. USA 21. Paraguay 38. Ghana
3. Netherlands 13. Switzerland 24. Australia 40. Japan
4. Italia 14. Cameroon 25. Uruguay 48. South Korea
5. Germany 16. Greece 27. Denmark 49. Slovenia
6. Argentina 17. Chile 29. Algeria 83. New Zealand
7. England 18. Mexico 32. Nigeria 85. South Africa
9. France 19. Ivory Coast 33. Slovakia 91. North Korea
75% 50% 37.5% 37.5%
10/16 = 62.5% 6/16 = 37.5%

FIFA RANKING MAY 2010
POT 1 POT 2 POT 3 POT 4
1. Brazil 9. France 20. Australia 34. Slovakia
2. Spain 13. Greece 21. Nigeria 36. Denmark
3. Portugal 14. USA 24. Switzerland ↓ 38. Honduras
4. Netherlands 15. Serbia 25. Slovenia 45. Japan
5. Italy 16. Uruguay ↑ 27. Ivory Coast 47. South Korea
6. Germany 17. Mexico 30. Algeria 78. New Zealand
7. Argentina 18. Chile 31. Paraguay 83. South Africa
8. England 19. Cameroon 32. Ghana 105. North Korea
87.5% 50% 25% 37.5%
11/16 = 68.75% 5/16 = 31.25%
GROUP STAGE
 (Position in the FIFA ranking. October 2009 → Position in the FIFA ranking. May 2010) = Points accumulated in the Group stage
GROUP A GROUP B
  1. Uruguay (25→16) = 7
  2. Mexico (18→17) = 4
  3. South Africa (85→83) = 4
  4. France (9→9) = 1
  1. Argentina (6→7) = 9
  2. South Korea (48→47) = 4
  3. Greeece (16→13) = 3
  4. Nigeria (32→21) = 1
GROUP C GROUP D
  1. USA (11→14) = 5
  2. England (7→8) = 5
  3. Slovenia (49→25) = 4
  4. Algeria (29→30) = 1
  1. Germany (5→6) = 6
  2. Ghana (38→32) = 4
  3. Australia (24→20) = 4
  4. Serbia (20→15) = 3
GROUP E GROUP F
  1. Netherlands (3→4) = 9
  2. Japan (40→45) = 6
  3. Denmark (27→36) = 3
  4. Cameroon (14→19) = 0
  1. Paraguay (21→31) = 5
  2. Slovakia (33→34) = 4
  3. New Zealand (83→78) = 3
  4. Italy (4→5) = 2
GROUP G GROUP H
  1. Brazil (1→1) = 7
  2. Portugal (10→3) = 5
  3. Ivory Coast (19→27) = 4
  4. North Korea (91→105) = 0
  1. Spain (2→2) = 6
  2. Chile (17→18) = 6
  3. Switzerland (13→24) = 4
  4. Honduras (35→38) = 1
Qualified teams being best in their groups according to the FIFA ranking: 11/16 = 68.75%

GERMANY 2006

FIFA RANKING OCTOBER 2005
POT 1 POT 2 POT 3 POT 4
1. Brazil 9. Portugal 21. Iran 39. Ukraine
2. Netherlands 9. England 23. Poland 47. Serbia & Montenegro
3. Czech Republic 12. Italy 27. Tunisia 48. Ivory Coast
4. Argentina 13. Sweden 29. South Korea 49. Togo
5. France 15. Germany 31. Saudi Arabia 51. Ghana
6. Mexico 16. Japan 33. Paraguay 53. Trinidad & Tobago
7. USA 19. Croatia 36. Ecuador 54. Australia
8. Spain 20. Costa Rica 38. Switzerland 60. Angola
75% 62.5% 25% 37.5%
11/16 = 68.75% 5/16 = 31.25%

FIFA RANKING MAY 2006
POT 1 POT 2 POT 3 POT 4
1. Brazil 9. Argentina 23. Croatia ↓ 39. Ecuador
2. Czech Republic 10. England 26. Costa Rica ↓ 42. Australia
3. Netherlands 13. Italy 29. South Korea 45. Ukraine
4. Mexico 16. Sweden 29. Poland 47. Serbia & Montenegro
5. USA 18. Japan 32. Ivory Coast 47. Trinidad & Tobago
5. Spain 19. Germany 33. Paraguay 48. Ghana
7. Portugal 21. Tunisia ↑ 34. Saudi Arabia 57. Angola
8. France 23. Iran ↑ 35. Switzerland 61. Togo
75% 62.5% 12.5% 50%
11/16 = 68.75% 5/16 = 31.25%
GROUP STAGE
 (Position in the FIFA ranking. October 2005 → Position in the FIFA ranking. May 2006) = Points accumulated in the Group stage
GROUP A GROUP B
  1. Germany (15→19) = 9
  2. Ecuador (36→39) = 6
  3. Poland (23→29) = 3
  4. Costa Rica (20→26) = 0
  1. England (9→10) = 7
  2. Sweden (13→16) = 5
  3. Paraguay (33→33) = 3
  4. Trinidad & Tobago (53→47) = 1
GROUP C GROUP D
  1. Argentina (4→9) = 7
  2. Netherlands (2→3) = 7
  3. Serbia & Montenegro (47→47) = 3
  4. Ivory Coast (48→32) = 0
  1. Portugal (9→7) = 9
  2. Mexico (6→4) = 4
  3. Angola (60→57) = 2
  4. Iran (21→23) = 1
GROUP E GROUP F
  1. Italy (12→13) = 7
  2. Ghana (51→48) = 6
  3. Czech Republic (3→2) = 3
  4. USA (7→5) = 1
  1. Brazil (1→1) = 9
  2. Australia (54→42) = 4
  3. Croatia (19→23) = 2
  4. Japan (16→18) = 1
GROUP G GROUP H
  1. Switzerland (38→35) = 7
  2. France (5→8) = 5
  3. South Korea (29→29) = 4
  4. Togo (49→61) = 0
  1. Spain (8→5) = 9
  2. Ukraine (39→45) = 6
  3. Tunisia (27→21) = 1
  4. Saudi Arabia (31→34) = 1
Qualified teams being best in their groups according to the FIFA ranking: 10/16 = 62.5%

KOREA-JAPAN 2002

FIFA RANKING OCTOBER 2001
BOMBO 1 BOMBO 2 BOMBO 3 BOMBO 4
1. France 13. Paraguay 23. Uruguay 33. Belgium
2. Brazil 14. Germany 25. Tunisia 34. Turkey
3. Argentina 16. Croatia 26. Japan 38. Cameroon
4. Italy 17. Denmark 27. Slovenia 39. Ecuador
5. Portugal 18. Sweden 28. Poland 42. Nigeria
6. Spain 19. USA 29. Costa Rica 43. South Korea
9. England 20. Ireland 30. Saudi Arabia 55. China
11. Mexico 21. Russia 32. South Africa 65. Senegal
62.5% 75% 12.5% 50%
11/16 = 68.75% 5/16 = 31.25%

FIFA RANKING MAY 2002
POT 1 POT 2 POT 3 POT 4
1. France 12. England 22. Turkey 32. Japan
2. Brazil 13. USA 23. Belgium 34. Saudi Arabia
3. Argentina 15. Ireland 24. Uruguay 36. Ecuador
4. Portugal 17. Cameroon ↑ 25. Slovenia 37. South Africa
6. Italy 18. Paraguay 27. Nigeria 38. Poland
7. Mexico 19. Sweden 28. Russia ↓ 40. South Korea
8. Spain 20. Denmark 29. Costa Rica 42. Senegal
11. Germany 21. Croatia 31. Tunisia 50. China
62.5% 75% 25% 37.5%
11/16 = 68.75% 5/16 = 31.25%
GROUP STAGE
 (Position in the FIFA ranking. October 2001 → Position in the FIFA ranking. May 2002) = Points accumulated in the Group stage
GROUP A GROUP B
  1. Denmark (17→20) = 7
  2. Senegal (65→42) = 5
  3. Uruguay (23→24) = 2
  4. France (1→1) = 1
  1. Spain (6→8) = 9
  2. Paraguay (13→18) = 4
  3. South Africa (32→37) = 4
  4. Slovenia (27→25) = 0
GROUP C GROUP D
  1. Brazil (2→2) = 9
  2. Turkey (34→22) = 4
  3. Costa Rica (29→29) = 4
  4. China (55→50) = 0
  1. South Korea (43→40) = 7
  2. USA (19→13) = 4
  3. Portugal (5→5) = 3
  4. Poland (28→38) = 3
GROUP E GROUP F
  1. Germany (14→11) = 7
  2. Ireland (20→15) = 5
  3. Cameroon (38→17) = 4
  4. Saudi Arabia (30→34) = 0
  1. Sweden (18→19) = 5
  2. England (9→12) = 5
  3. Argentina (3→3) = 4
  4. Nigeria (42→27) = 1
GROUP G GROUP H
  1. Mexico (11→7) = 7
  2. Italy (4→6) = 4
  3. Croatia (16→21) = 3
  4. Ecuador (39→36) = 3
  1. Japan (26→32) = 7
  2. Belgium (33→23) = 5
  3. Russia (21→28) = 3
  4. Tunisia (25→31) = 1
Qualified teams being best in their groups according to the FIFA ranking: 12/16 = 75%

Christian Ortiz PhD
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